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The October WASDE lowered the 2021 red meat and poultry production forecast on lower pork, broiler and turkey output, partly offset by higher beef output. Fed cattle supplies are expected to tighten in the second half of 2022, and the 2022 fed cattle price forecast was raised.
Beef and pork import forecasts were also raised.
Tighter expected 2022 fed cattle supplies and lower pork and poultry output support livestock prices, while lower hog and broiler production reduces feed demand for those species.
cattlerange.comOct 12, 2021After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
