
USDA lowered its hog price projections, expecting prices to fall in 2019 and 2020 because of large supplies and weaker-than-expected exports. It also trimmed its 2020 meat production forecast, citing slower cow and fed cattle slaughter.
A lower USDA price outlook for hogs signals continued pressure on hog values, while the reduced beef production forecast supports cattle prices.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.