
Rabobank expects global beef production to stay relatively constant in 2024, with US and Canadian declines offset by gains in Australia, Brazil and Mexico. US herd contraction from drought continues, and European cow herd declines are keeping carcass prices firm.
A shrinking US herd points to firm US beef and cattle prices into 2024, while offsetting global supply growth limits how far prices can rise.
After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.