USDA's Livestock, Dairy and Poultry Outlook says drought has eased across much of the U.S. but about 41% of the country remains in some drought. Hay stocks on May 1 were 13% below last year, the lowest in a decade, and beef cow culling remains high.
Tighter forage and a smaller calf crop point to lower beef output in 2024 and firmer cattle prices, while lower feed costs help producer returns.
After 268 past bullish report events, LCATTLE moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, FCATTLE moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, CORN moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.