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USDA ERS lowered its forecast for fourth-quarter 2020 and 2021 beef production by 70-80 million pounds after fewer cattle were slaughtered in December and fewer fed cattle are expected in second-quarter 2021. The 2020 average price for live steers in the 5-area region was $108.51 per cwt, down 7% from 2019.
Tighter beef supply and expected lower carcass weights from higher feed costs point to firmer fed cattle prices, which also raises demand expectations for feed.
agproud.comRussell KnightFeb 24, 2021After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 413 past report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.7%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
