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USDA's Outlook Board projected 2019 beef output at 27.3 billion pounds, about 310 million pounds lower than its previous forecast, citing heavier cow slaughter and lighter carcass weights. The fed steer price forecast for 2019 was raised to $119.63/cwt, $1.13 above analyst expectations.
A smaller beef supply forecast combined with solid demand supports higher fed cattle prices. Lower beef output also reduces competition for protein in the feed-grain chain over time.
brownfieldagnews.comTom SteeverMar 15, 2019After 268 past bullish report events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -0.7% to +1.4%), and +1.7% over 20.
After 227 past bullish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.5%), and +1.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
