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USDA's Outlook Board projects 2018 beef production 5.5% higher and pork output more than 4% higher. It cut its hog price forecast to $45.78 and expects steer prices to fall by about $5 year over year.
Rising beef and pork supplies with weaker packer demand point to lower meat prices, which reduces demand for feed as livestock margins tighten. Chinese tariff losses are expected to be short-term.
brownfieldagnews.comNicole HeslipApr 17, 2018After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
USDA forecast higher 2018 beef production and lower steer prices, a bearish supply outlook weighing on deferred futures.
