
Feeder cattle futures fell sharply after the USDA February 1 Cattle on Feed report showed on-feed numbers up 1%, January placements up 11%, and marketings up 10%. Live cattle contracts also settled lower, with aggressive triple-digit losses in all but the February contract.
Higher placements and marketings point to more feeder cattle supply, which pressures feeder futures and reduces the price outlook for feeder cattle.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.