
CME live cattle futures fell sharply after USDA cattle on feed and inventory reports showed continued herd expansion and a large jump in placements. August live cattle was down $2.55 and feeder cattle down $4.50 to $148.45.
Confirmed herd growth and heavy placements imply substantial beef supply later in the year, pressuring futures and feeder cattle values.
After 126 past bearish report events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.3% to +2.0%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 144 past bearish report events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.