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The June WASDE lowered the 2018 milk production forecast on slightly fewer cows and slower growth in output per cow. USDA raised the 2018 Class III price on stronger whey prices and raised both Class III and Class IV prices for 2019.
Fat-basis exports were raised for 2018 despite Mexico's tariffs on US cheese.
A smaller US milk output forecast and higher price projections point to firmer dairy prices, which supports the cost of dairy feed and by-product inputs.
blogs.extension.iastate.eduJun 19, 2018After 237 past bullish report events, Milk (Class III) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.6%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
