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The Daily Market Wire from October 1 reports sharp overnight gains in Chicago, Kansas, and Minneapolis wheat, corn, and soybeans after USDA's stocks and production reports came in well outside expectations. USDA put September 1 corn stocks at 1.99 billion bushels against a 2.25 billion trade estimate, and soybean stocks at 523 million against 576 million expected.
Stocks well below trade expectations across corn, soybeans, and wheat support prices for all three grains.
graincentral.comGuest AuthorOct 1, 2020graincentral.comGuest AuthorOct 2, 2020After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 1,040 past bullish report events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.9% to +2.0%), and +0.8% over 20.
After 129 past bearish report events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median -1.3% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.9% to +2.5%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
