The January 2022 USDA WASDE report came in mostly within pre-report estimates. US winter wheat area was 34.397m acres, above the 34.255m expected, and global wheat ending stocks were raised to 279.95Mt.
US corn ending stocks rose 47mbu to 1.540bbu, above the 1.472bbu expected, while soybean ending stocks came in at 350mbu.
Larger-than-expected US corn and wheat carryouts add supply and weigh on futures, while the firmer soybean tone reflects tighter South American supply prospects.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 747 past bullish report events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.1%), and +0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.