Chicago wheat December futures rose 15.25 cents to 725.5 cents a bushel and Kansas wheat rose 20 cents after the USDA stocks report. Soybeans fell 27.75 cents to 1256 cents and corn fell 2.25 cents, as the soybean stocks figure of 256 million bushels was far above expectations.
The soybean stocks miss makes the old-crop soy balance looser and pressures soy complex prices, while wheat's rally reflects tighter wheat supplies.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.