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The International Grains Council cut its 2020/21 global wheat production forecast by 5.6Mt to 762.0Mt, leaving a 12.1Mt surplus. Reductions were made for the EU, US, Russia and Argentina, while stocks are still expected to rise, mainly in China and India.
A smaller projected world wheat surplus removes some bearish supply pressure, supporting wheat prices, though large stocks outside exporting countries limit the rally.
ahdb.org.ukJul 24, 2020After 769 past bullish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 180 past bullish report events, Wheat (HRW) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.7%), and -0.6% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
