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The EIA weekly retail diesel average rose 1.3 cents to $3.30 a gallon, marking nine straight weekly increases. On Monday, June 28, ULSD futures fell 3.1% on Delta variant travel worries and possible OPEC+ supply action.
Rising diesel raises trucking and feed-delivery costs for buyers and tracks crude and distillate strength. Delta-driven demand fears and OPEC+ supply decisions are the swing factors for near-term direction.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonJun 28, 2021After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 102 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -3.3% to +2.5%), and +1.8% over 20.
After 54 past neutral macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -2.8% to +2.5%), and +0.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
