
The weekly EIA retail diesel average rose 5.8 cents to $2.441 a gallon, the largest one-week gain since September 2019. The ULSD futures contract rose on two consecutive Mondays of vaccine news, and WTI climbed to $41.34 a barrel from $37.14 since November 6.
Vaccine-driven crude rallies lift diesel and fuel surcharge costs for feed distribution. Energy strength also supports biofuel feedstock economics.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.