The Canadian dollar posted its biggest gain in 12 years on Friday after October jobs data showed 108,300 jobs added, far above forecasts. Oil jumped about 5% to $92.61 a barrel on reports China may relax COVID measures.
Markets raised the chance of a half-point Bank of Canada hike in December to 65%.
Reports of China easing COVID curbs lift the global growth outlook and commodity prices, which supports crude and diesel costs for feed logistics. A weaker US dollar also supports dollar-priced grain demand.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.