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ULSD diesel on the CME settled at $1.3866 a gallon on Wednesday, up 30.53 cents or 28.2% since the end of October and above its March 5 pre-pandemic settlement. Retail diesel rose to $2.548 a gallon on Thursday from $2.335 at the end of October, and wholesale rack prices jumped to $1.524.
Higher diesel costs raise freight and farm-delivery expenses for feed mills and raise ethanol and biodiesel production costs, which can support feedstock demand. Sustained crude and diesel strength adds upward pressure on energy-linked commodities.
freightwaves.comJohn KingstonNov 27, 2020After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
