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Bloomberg reports that surging demand for ultra-low sulfur diesel is pushing up crude oil prices. Industrial activity is strong worldwide, and total oil consumption growth in 2017 is running well above the 10-year average.
Strong diesel demand tightens the crude balance and supports energy-linked feed costs, including freight and fertilizer inputs. Price implication is firmer crude and diesel.
bloomberg.comJavier Blas, Alex Longley, Brian WingfieldSep 27, 2017After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
