
Crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery hub for US crude futures, are more depleted than at any point in three years. Dated oil contracts suggest the tightness will persist for months.
Tight US storage supports WTI prices and raises the cost of diesel and freight inputs for US feed production and transport.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.