
Oil rose on Wednesday after the IEA and OPEC forecast strong 2024 global demand growth. A larger-than-expected U.S. crude inventory draw and Middle East risks, including Pakistan-Iran strikes, also supported prices, with Brent at $79.13.
Upgraded demand forecasts tighten the crude balance and support energy-linked input costs. Higher crude supports biofuel economics that can underpin vegetable oil demand.
After 487 past bullish macro events, WTI moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.