Crude futures rise on ECB stimulus expectations, robust US economic data

After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.

• Aug 10, 2020WTI Futures Rise on US Stimulus Progress+1.3%
• Jan 18, 2024Oil prices rise on global demand forecasts, US crude stock draw+3.5%
• Aug 24, 2021Crude oil futures extend gains after overnight vault as outlook improves | S&P Global+5.7%
• Mar 31, 2023Oil Rises On Cooling US Inflation, Lower Global Supplies+8.8%
• Feb 1, 2019Oil rises on strong US jobs data and falling rig count-1.4%

After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.

• Aug 10, 2020WTI Futures Rise on US Stimulus Progress+2.1%
• Jan 18, 2024Oil prices rise on global demand forecasts, US crude stock draw+3.6%
• Aug 24, 2021Crude oil futures extend gains after overnight vault as outlook improves | S&P Global+5.5%
• Apr 12, 2023Oil rises 2% on lower-than-expected US inflation data | Reuters-0.8%
• Mar 31, 2023Oil Rises On Cooling US Inflation, Lower Global Supplies+8.6%

After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.

• Mar 10, 2024Pound Is Beating 92% of Global Currencies on UK Economic Rebound+0.4%
• Aug 26, 2025Ringgit slips against greenback on profit-taking ahead of US economic data release | Malay Mail+0.2%
• Feb 26, 2025US dollar rises as economic, tariff outlook gauged+0.5%
• Aug 26, 2022fed: Dollar volatile after Fed's Powell comments on inflation - The Economic Times+1.1%
• Sep 30, 2026FOREX-US dollar flat against peers after softer-than-expected inflation data | International-0.1%