Nearby WTI and Brent futures rallied on Monday, with WTI moving above $42 a barrel. The move followed reports of progress on US stimulus talks and stronger Chinese industrial and trade data, although US gasoline demand was weak.
Stimulus progress and firmer Chinese demand support the outlook for energy use, which tends to lift crude and fuel costs. Weak US gasoline demand limits how far prices can rise.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.