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Brent and crude traded higher as markets worried about fuel supply through the winter. Tight distillate supply from OPEC+ cuts and the EU embargo on Russian oil has pushed refinery margins and prompt spreads sharply higher.
Tight distillate markets point to higher diesel and heating oil prices into winter, raising fuel and transport costs for feed buyers. Crude strength also supports energy-linked input costs.
home.saxoOle HansenJun 16, 2021After 105 past bullish macro events, ULSD / Diesel moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -3.4% to +1.8%), and +1.2% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (Brent) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
