Loading…
India's monsoon ended August with a 9.1% rainfall deficit, and September is expected to remain below normal, which would classify the season as drought. The August deficit of 24.1% was the second poorest since 1951.
Drought-like conditions affect about a third of India, though the government expects limited food inflation impact.
A deficient monsoon threatens kharif crops such as rice, pulses and oilseeds, which could tighten Indian supply and lift import demand.
forbesindia.comSamar SrivastavaSep 7, 2021After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
