India on track for lowest monsoon rains in 8 years -sources

After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2023India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino+0.8%
• Aug 1, 2018India's monsoon rain forecast cut, farm output seen at risk | The Star-8.4%
• Oct 11, 2019Why strong monsoon rains are not necessarily good news for Indian farmers-0.4%
• May 16, 2023Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?-5.7%
• Aug 14, 2019What The Current Late Monsoon Rainfalls Mean For India’s Agriculture-4.1%

After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2023India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino-0.7%
• Aug 12, 2021India gets below-average monsoon rains for second straight week-3.4%
• Apr 13, 2026IMD Forecasts Below Normal South West Monsoon Rainfall in 2026, El Niño to Impact India’s Kharif Season-0.7%
• Aug 29, 2024Prolonged Monsoon Rains Threaten India’s Crop Outlook | Headlines+5.2%
• Jul 20, 2021After second wave, patchy monsoon rains are raising growth and inflation worries for India-1.1%

After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.

• Aug 2, 2017Erratic Monsoon Rains Threaten Key Indian Grain, Food Crops - AgriBusiness Global-0.2%
• Sep 1, 2023After India's Driest August In Over 100 Years, More Grain Export Curbs Likely-3.5%
• Aug 18, 2023Exclusive: India faces record low August rains, threatening summer crops | Reuters+3.5%
• Jan 22, 2025Soybeans Rallies on Tuesday - IBest Media-2.4%
• Sep 7, 2021Agriculture: Monsoon is drawing to a close. Will the Gods show mercy on India's rain deficit+1.7%