Explainer: Why El Nino is a concern for Indian monsoon rains?

After 179 past bullish weather events, Rough Rice moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.5%), and +2.2% over 20.

• Sep 30, 2023India's monsoon rains hit five-year low due to El Nino+0.8%
• Oct 11, 2019Why strong monsoon rains are not necessarily good news for Indian farmers-0.4%
• Jul 18, 2023Why Indian farmers worry despite 'average' monsoon rains+5.4%
• Aug 14, 2019What The Current Late Monsoon Rainfalls Mean For India’s Agriculture-4.1%
• Oct 9, 2023Explained: How is ‘below normal’ monsoon 2023 impacting India’s economy-0.6%

After 1,072 past bullish weather events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.

• Jun 21, 2024Explainer: Why food prices will remain high in India | Reuters-6.9%
• Apr 24, 2026Explainer: How El Nino could impact the world's weather in 2026/27 | Reuters+0.2%
• Apr 27, 2023El Nino May Boost Soil Moisture in May for South American Wheat+1.1%
• Oct 6, 2026India's weak monsoon is over. Why its impact could stretch into 2027 - CNBC TV18+3.5%
• Jun 29, 2017Wheat surges on weather concerns in Plains - Brownfield Ag News+2.3%