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ADM Agriculture's fertiliser head said global fertiliser markets have moved sharply higher after the Russia-Ukraine situation. Russia is the world's top exporter of ammonium nitrate, UAN, ammonia and urea, and European and UK natural gas prices rose over 30%.
Russia's dominant position in nitrogen exports and the gas-price spike feeding European production point to further upward pressure on fertilizer costs. Higher input costs will push feed and grain prices up.
farming.co.ukFeb 25, 2022After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
