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Farmers Weekly reports fertiliser prices fluctuating sharply on geopolitical tensions from the Ukraine war and Middle East conflict. Urea trades around GBP 330-350/t but can move US$20-30 within hours, and some European plants are limiting output due to high ammonia costs.
Energy-linked volatility in urea and ammonia raises nitrogen costs and keeps supply uncertain, supporting higher input costs for feed grain producers.
fwi.co.ukCharlie ReeveNov 6, 2024After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
After 136 past bullish geopolitics events, Natural Gas moved a median +2.7% over 5 sessions (63% higher; middle half -1.8% to +8.8%), and +4.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
