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European ammonium nitrate plants are shutting down fully or partly due to high gas prices, with Polish plants Anwil and Grupa Azoty halting production and Lithuania's Achema due to close on 1 September. Imported AN was offered at £820-£835/t and urea rose to £745-£760/t delivered as buyers switched away from AN.
Gas-driven fertilizer supply cuts push nitrogen prices higher and the trade expects up to a 35% drop in fertilizer use for the coming crop, which could trim yields and raise grain costs.
fwi.co.ukSuzie HorneAug 23, 2022After 323 past bullish geopolitics events, Corn moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (57% higher; middle half -1.5% to +2.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 361 past bullish geopolitics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.4% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 205 past bullish geopolitics events, Urea moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -2.1% to +3.0%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
European gas-driven shutdowns of ammonium nitrate plants (Anwil, Grupa Azoty, Achema) tightened nitrogen fertiliser supply and pushed buyers to switch to urea, lifting delivered urea prices, though the report dates to 3 days before the move and the size of a 19% one-day jump suggests other drivers also contributed.
European AN plant shutdowns pushed buyers toward urea, raising urea demand and delivered prices (£745-760/t).
