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Argentina's central bank is buying dollars from crop exporters who borrow dollars abroad and sell them in the official market, despite the harvest having ended months ago. The central bank recorded its highest October dollar purchases in 15 years, partly due to a tax amnesty program.
Exporters selling soybeans, wheat and corn to replenish central bank reserves could add farm export flow and support Argentine peso stability, while the carry trade depends on continued peso devaluation.
financialpost.comBloomberg NewsOct 30, 2024After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
After 13 past neutral macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
After 78 past neutral macro events, Corn moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and -0.6% over 20.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
