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Argentina's central bank is burning about $60 million a day selling dollars to keep the peso steady, while foreign reserves are running very low. The country lost $1.47 billion in reserves in a single week amid political turmoil and inflation nearing triple digits.
Low reserves and currency pressure can push Argentine farmers to hold back soybeans and corn or sell faster, tightening or loosening export availability. A possible peso devaluation would make Argentine oilseed and meal exports cheaper on world markets.
bloomberglinea.comScott SquiresAug 2, 2022Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
After 50 past neutral macro events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and -0.8% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
