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Argentine markets are showing renewed volatility as investors grow anxious ahead of a primary vote scheduled for next month. The peso and bonds had recently stabilized after months of turmoil that pushed the currency sharply lower and borrowing costs higher.
Speculation that leftist candidates may perform strongly ahead of October's presidential election is driving the renewed angst.
Peso weakness and higher Argentine borrowing costs raise the cost of Argentine exports for buyers paying in dollars, which can shift soymeal and corn export flows and pricing. A leftist election result could also signal policy risk for Argentine grain and oilseed exporters.
bloomberg.comCarolina MillanJul 26, 2019Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 73 past neutral macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.1%), and -1.6% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
