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Crude oil fell below $30/barrel and sterling hit a 35-year low against the dollar on 18 March 2020 as the pandemic hit growth and transport demand. Global wheat fell through February and early March then rallied in the third week of March, while maize stayed low as weak crude discouraged ethanol use.
Low crude reduces ethanol demand for maize and cuts DDGS output, keeping feed grain prices soft, while the weaker pound affects UK feed import costs.
ahdb.org.ukMar 24, 2020After 565 past bearish macro events, WTI moved a median -1.4% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -5.9% to +3.0%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 312 past bearish macro events, BRENT moved a median -1.7% over 5 sessions (38% higher; middle half -5.4% to +2.3%), and -1.7% over 20.
After 301 past bearish macro events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 13 past neutral macro events, WHEAT moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
