
Chinese hog prices are down 50 to 60 percent year on year while feed costs have risen, pushing some sow-finisher farms into losses. COVID lockdowns are depressing demand, and some producers are substituting tubers and rice for corn and cutting soymeal in rations.
Feed consumption in China is expected to fall 2 to 5 percent in 2022.
Reduced Chinese feed grain and meal demand, plus substitution away from corn and soymeal, weighs on the global feed grain outlook.
After 301 past bearish macro events, Corn moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +0.2% over 20.
After 117 past bearish macro events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.6% over 5 sessions (41% higher; middle half -2.5% to +1.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.