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The DXY traded near 104.30 after a modest rise on a better-than-expected February durable goods print and hawkish Fed comments. Trump announced copper tariffs would arrive sooner than markets expected.
Ceasefire talks between Ukraine and Russia and Russian demands over sanctions added uncertainty.
Firmer dollar momentum from data and Fed signals raises import costs for feed buyers abroad and can pressure dollar-denominated grain and meal prices, while Black Sea ceasefire headlines add risk to wheat and corn.
fxstreet.comPatricio MartínMar 26, 2025After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 13 past neutral macro events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -2.0% to +0.2%), and -2.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
