
The dollar held near a one-month high against major currencies on Monday after strong US data on homebuilding, retail sales and manufacturing. The offshore yuan reached a six-month high near 6.8458 per dollar, while sterling fell to $1.2971.
A firm dollar and strong yuan shift currency-driven import and export competitiveness, which feeds into US grain export pricing and Chinese buying appetite for feed inputs.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Offshore yuan hit a six-month high near 6.8458 per dollar on Jan 20 despite a firm dollar, showing yuan-specific strength that carried into the Jan 21 move.