US biofuel mandates climb amid war, farm income concerns

After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.

• Dec 10, 2025Study: EPA biofuels proposal aids US soybean farmers | World Grain-3.8%
• May 16, 2022White House weighs inflation vs. farmers in new biofuel mandates-4.2%
• May 21, 2020U.S. EPA draft would lift US biofuel blending mandates slightly in 2021+0.1%
• Nov 28, 2024Biofuels' hunger for used cooking oil faces trade challenges | World Grain-0.4%
• Mar 1, 2017U.S. grains: Corn, soyoil climb on biofuels news - Grainews-0.7%

After 206 past neutral policy events, SBM moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.3% to +1.8%), and -0.7% over 20.

• Feb 23, 2022Argentinean farm group wants grain export tax gone | World Grain+2.3%
• Sep 9, 2019Focus on Argentina | 2019-09-09 | World Grain+3.8%
• Aug 1, 2025Uncertainty prevails as soy oil market seeks US biofuels clarity+3.3%
• Aug 28, 2026Grain Journal | Updated 45Z Model Could Boost Soybean Demand and…+4.5%
• Jan 9, 2020Higher export taxes impacting Argentina farmers | 2020-01-09 | World Grain+1.1%

After 439 past neutral policy events, CORN moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.

• Mar 4, 2026Farm bill faces uphill climb with mid-year politics in play | Agri-Pulse Communications, Inc.+0.3%
• Mar 27, 2020Biofuels industry tackling challenges | 2020-03-27 | World Grain+3.7%
• Nov 28, 2024Uncertainty swirls around US grain supplies | World Grain+1.1%
• Mar 31, 2023Ag groups lay out farm bill concerns - High Plains Journal-1.2%
• Feb 23, 2022Argentinean farm group wants grain export tax gone | World Grain+7.5%