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U.S. corn and soyoil futures rose on March 1, 2017 after reports that the Trump administration might change the Renewable Fuels Standard, including a summer ethanol blending waiver and support for a biodiesel tax credit. The White House then said no executive order was in the works, and both markets pared gains.
CBOT May corn settled at $3.73-3/4 and May soyoil rose to 33.93 cents/lb.
Possible RFS changes would raise ethanol and soy biodiesel demand, which supports corn and soyoil prices. The White House denial limited the rally, so the price impact depends on whether a formal policy change follows.
grainews.caJulie Ingwersen, GFM Network NewsMar 1, 2017After 318 past bullish policy events, CORN moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.5%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 842 past bullish policy events, SBO moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (52% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.1%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
