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Market analysts say US grain prices face uncertainty from the incoming Trump administration, including threatened tariffs, possible changes to biofuel policy and a stronger dollar that makes US exports pricier. The Black Sea war and weather also remain factors, with winter wheat planting largely complete.
Tariff threats, biofuel policy shifts and a strong dollar could change US export competitiveness and domestic demand for corn, soybeans and wheat.
world-grain.comCrystal Futrell, Jason Kendall, Matt NoltemeyerNov 28, 2024After 439 past neutral policy events, Corn moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.2%), and +1.1% over 20.
After 554 past neutral policy events, Soybeans moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and +0.6% over 20.
After 137 past neutral policy events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.2%), and +0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
