Argentina's drought is severely affecting its soybean crop. The agriculture ministry suspended soybean oil and meal export registrations, and export taxes were set to rise for the world's largest soymeal and oil exporter.
A drought-reduced Argentine crop combined with export restrictions tightens global availability of soymeal and soyoil, supporting feed and oil prices.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
Argentina, the top soymeal exporter, suspended meal export registrations and raised export taxes amid drought, which tightens global meal supply (dated 3/13, so it may reflect news already circulating by 3/10).