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Traders warn that Argentina's planting delays and dry soils, plus Brazil's planned biodiesel blending increase, could squeeze global soybean meal and oil supply in 2023. Argentina and Brazil together supply more than half of world soybean oil and meal.
Market participants doubt USDA's 49.5 million tonne Argentine soybean estimate.
Lower Argentine crush and higher Brazilian biodiesel demand for soyoil would tighten meal and oil availability, supporting derivative prices.
datamarnews.comGabriel MalheirosJan 10, 2023After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
