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Argentina's 2022-23 soybean crop is now estimated at 21.25 million tonnes by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service, a further downward revision. The estimate sits 3.75 million tonnes below the USDA's official July WASDE projection, as drought lowered yields.
Crush, domestic consumption and ending stocks were all cut.
A smaller Argentine crop reduces crush and meal output from a major exporter, tightening global soybean meal supply and supporting prices. Expected rebound in 2023-24 limits the longer-term impact.
world-grain.comJohn ReidyJul 21, 2023After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
