Market analyst Mike Zuzolo says the US crop is short and vulnerable and the market has been focused on recession fears, global demand and Ukraine returning to export. He expects a price premium phase if dryness continues.
He also cites the European corn crop as a key market driver.
A short, vulnerable US crop and weak European corn output point to firmer corn prices and higher feed costs if dryness persists.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.