The Red River Farm Network crop tour found hot, dry weather reducing corn and soybean yields in northwest Minnesota. Soybeans on beet ground were described as stressed, while some North Dakota fields still look average to above average.
Localized yield losses in the northern Corn Belt trim supply expectations, giving modest support to corn and soybean prices.
After 1,465 past bullish weather events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.9%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.