
Argentina's soybean planting was 96.2% complete, with delays in northern regions due to excess moisture. Dryness is intensifying in central and eastern areas, and soybean good-to-excellent ratings fell 8 points to 53%.
The harvest forecast has been reduced to 48 million tonnes.
A cut in the Argentine soybean crop forecast tightens global supply of soybeans, meal and oil, supporting prices for these products.
After 1,079 past bullish weather events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.4% to +2.0%), and +0.9% over 20.
After 453 past bullish weather events, Soybean Meal moved a median +0.5% over 5 sessions (55% higher; middle half -1.6% to +2.7%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 184 past bullish weather events, Soybean Oil moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.9% to +2.4%), and -0.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.