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BAGE forecasts Argentina's 2026/27 soybean crop at 53.6 million tons, 3.5 million above the previous season's 50.1 million. Planted area could rise to 17 million hectares, supported by crushing demand and corn leafhopper risks.
A larger Argentine crop would add to global soybean supply and ease oilseed tightness, which is bearish for soy complex prices. The forecast sits well above USDA (50 million) and Rosario (47.8 million), so it is a notable outlier.
ukragroconsult.comSep 30, 2026After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 399 past bearish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.4% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -2.4% to +1.2%), and -1.0% over 20.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
