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USDA's Economic Research Service projects U.S. corn, soybean and cotton production and exports to approach or exceed record levels through 2032/33. Crop prices are expected to decline over the next three years before stabilizing.
Hog prices are forecast to fall while beef and chicken prices stay elevated.
A long-run outlook of record output and falling crop prices points to sustained pressure on feed grain and oilseed prices, and lower hog prices reduce demand for feed.
ers.usda.govFeb 9, 2023After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 788 past bearish report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.3% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.0% to +1.5%), and -0.9% over 20.
After 1,006 past bearish report events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.6% to +1.8%), and +0.3% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
