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A USDA-based projection shows US commercial pork production rising 3.5% in October-December 2024 and slaughter up 1.6%. The forecast gives December lean hog futures a range of $67 to $80 per cwt.
Higher fourth-quarter pork output points to pressure on hog prices, with the projected futures range sitting below last year's levels.
After 159 past bearish report events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.