USDA's January WASDE raised its 2023 and 2024 US beef production forecasts, with higher fourth-quarter beef, pork and broiler output. The 2024 beef import estimate was also raised on expected supplies from Oceania.
Larger expected red meat and poultry supplies add pressure to cattle and hog prices, and the broader meat outlook informs feed demand expectations.
After 144 past bearish report events, LCATTLE moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.1% to +0.9%), and +0.5% over 20.
After 159 past bearish report events, HOGS moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -2.2% to +1.3%), and +1.0% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.